Steady State
Economy
(excerpted from the following reference; for a more complete
explanation consult: Daly, Herman E., Beyond
Growth, Boston: Beacon Press, 1996)
Economics over the past fifty years have overwhelmingly been
dedicated to growth…which in practice has meant growth in Gross National
Product (GNP)—the only magnitude in economics expected to grow forever
·
The search for optimal scale disappears from
macroeconomics because the macroeconomy is, erroneously, not seen as part of
anything larger
·
But the macroeconomy is itself a subsystem of a larger
finite and non-growing ecosystem and so it must have an optimal
scale—throughput must be within the regenerative and absorptive capacities of
the ecosystem
The whole idea of sustainable development is that the
economic subsystem must not grow beyond the scale at which it can be
permanently sustained or supported by the containing ecosystem
- Development—qualitative
improvement in the state of the arts
- Growth—quantitative
increase in the physical scale of the matter/energy throughput that
sustains economic activities of production and consumption of commodities
- Throughput
begins with depletion and ends with pollution
- Entropy
(“used-up-ness”) increases in an isolated system such as ours—entropy is
time’s arrow in the physical world
- Refer
to diagram p. 28, Beyond Growth
- Sand
in upper chamber represents solar energy stock—it is low entropy
because it is available to do work
- Any
sand that sticks to the bottom chamber glass represents terrestrial
energy stocks (resources)—it too is available to do work
- Solar
source is stock abundant (meaning it will be there until the Sun burns
out, which won’t happen for a long time…we think), but flow-limited
(meaning it is available only a little at a time)
- Terrestrial
source (that stored in the form of natural resources) is stock-limited
(meaning there is only so much of it on earth) but flow-abundant
(meaning we can use it as fast as we want…I guess)
- Peasant
societies lived off the abundant solar flow; industrial societies depend
on using the limited terrestrial stock as fast as possible…apparently
In a Steady State Economy (SSE) aggregate throughput is
constant, although its allocation among competing uses is free to vary in
response to the market
- Not
static—continuous renewal by death and birth, depreciation and production,
qualitative improvement in stocks of both people and artifacts
- Not to
be thought of as “zero growth in GNP”—qualitative growth is expected…but
GNP is not very useful as a measure, because it is indiscriminate
Biophysical Limits to Growth—all are interactive
- Finitude
- Entropy
- Ecological
interdependence
Our economy is an open subsystem of our closed ecosystem,
which supplies low-entropy raw materials, and receives high-entropy wastes
- Growth
of the open subsystem is limited by:
- Fixed
size of host ecosystem
- Dependence
on ecosystem as source and sink
- Complexity
of ecological connections that are more easily disrupted as subsystem
grows relative to host
Standard growth economics ignores these limits because the
concept of throughput is absent from its preanalytic vision—that of an isolated
circular flow of exchange value (figure 2, p. 47)
- Won’t
technology and resource substitution outrun depletion and pollution?
- No—only
substituting one form of low entropy for another within a finite and
diminishing set of low entropy sources
- Reproducible
capital is not a near-perfect substitute for resources…it cannot be
produced independent of resources
- Besides
capital and resources are complementary in production, not substitutable
- You
cannot make the same house by substituting more saws for less wood
Ethicosocial Limits to Growth—render growth undesirable in
the following instances
- Financing
growth imposes a cost on future generations
- In
standard economics we balance the future against present costs and
benefits by discounting the future—a way of saying that beyond a certain
point the future is not worth anything to presently living people (>
rate, sooner that point is reached)
- Basic
needs of present should take precedence of basic needs of future, BUT
basic needs of future should take precedence over extravagance of
present
- Financing
growth by taking over habitat for other species imposes a current and
future cost
- Species
extinction compromises services ecosystem provides—these services are, as
you recall, tremendously valuable, maybe even inestimably valuable
- Desirability
of aggregate growth limited by insatiability of human wants
- “men
do not desire to be rich, but to be richer than other men” (J.S. Mill)
- aggregate
growth limited by corrosive effects on moral standards, like glorification
of self-interest and a “world machine” worldview
- anything
goes because “nothing personal…it’s only business”
Toward an SSE
- Failures
of the growth economy as forced first steps
- Money
fetishism and paper economy
- Since
money in the bank can grow forever, so can real wealth, and so can
welfare
- Result
of emphasizing exchange-value over use-value (according to Marx)
- C-C’
(Barter)
- One
commodity directly traded for another—exchange values equal, each
trader gains in use-value
- C-M-C’ (Simple Commodity Circulation)
- Begins
and ends with a use-value
- Money
merely a convenient means of exchange
- M-C-M’ (Capitalist Circulation)
- Begins
and ends with money capital—commodity an intermediary step in bringing
about expansion of exchange value
- Exchange
can grow by itself via compound interest, BUT “you cannot permanently
pit an absurd human convention (compound interest) against a law of
nature (entropic decay)”
- M-M’ (Paper Economy)
- Concrete
commodities disappear
- Such
“rent seeking” activities seem to be absorbing more and more business
talent
- Faulty
National Accounting
- We
count the costs of growth as more growth
- GNP
does not reveal whether consumption is off income or capital, interest
or principal
- We
accumulate both positive capital (wealth) and negative capital
(illth)—both require transactions and are, thus, added to the GNP
- But
should wealth acquired through selling a corn crop be counted the same
as illth acquired through paying for a cancer surgery?
- GNP
is an index of throughput, not welfare—in a finite world with a fully
employed carrying capacity—throughput is a cost, not a benefit
Environmental Economics of Optimal Scale
- The
major problem of our time is…what is the proper scale of our macroeconomy
relative to our ecosystem?
- Physical
exchanges crossing boundary between total ecological system and economic
subsystem are the subject matter of environmental macroeconomics
- Flows
considered in terms of their scale relative to the ecosystem…no the price
of one component relative to another
- Scale
= population X per capita resource use—different from the question of
allocation
- Arrangement
of weight in a boat is question of allocation…the amount of weigh the
boat should carry is a question of scale
- Market
functions only inside the economic subsystem to solve allocation
problem…only!
- Does
NOT solve problems of optimal distribution (widely recognized and
appreciated), NOR optimal scale (not widely recognized nor appreciated)
- Makes
three values in conflict:
- Allocation
(efficiency)
- Distribution
(justice)
- Scale
(sustainability)
- Scale
has a maximum limit defined either by regenerative or absorptive capacity
of ecosystem to act as:
- Maximum
scale is not likely to be optimum scale
- The
scale impact must be limited to a level judged to be ecologically
sustainable—an economic “Plimsoll Line” must be drawn
- Not
determined by prices (this for the allocative solution)…but by social
decisions reflecting ecological limits (just as distribution also not
determined by prices but by social decision-making)
Cowboy, Spaceman, or Bull in China Shop?
- Avoiding
the question of optimal scale—even from the economy as open subsystem of
ecosystem context—can be achieved by seeing scale as so small as to make
boundaries unviewable (cowboy), or so large as to be congruent with
boundaries (spaceman)
- In
each case the only question becomes allocation, scale is rendered moot
- The
middle position—where we all live—calls the scale question
- The
taking of matter and energy out of the ecosystem must disrupt the
functioning of that system even if nothing is done to the matter and
energy that was removed…it mere absence will affect the workings of the
ecosystem
- We
need to manage ourselves more than the planet…and our management should be
“more akin to child-proofing a day-care center than to piloting spaceship
earth”